According to information from the Institute for the Study of War (ISW), the leadership of the Russian armed forces is actively building up reserves to support prolonged offensive operations in Ukraine. However, there are serious doubts about their ability to act as a single large-scale military formation to successfully accomplish their tasks this year.
Mashovets cites the 44th Army Corps, which is being deployed in the Leningrad Military District, and the 163rd Armored Repair Plant as examples of weaknesses in the training of these forces. These structures are expected to be able to provide only 55-60% of the required weapons and equipment by the end of 2024.
Mashovec points to the discrepancy between Russia's ambitions to arm its reserves and the actual capabilities of its military industry.
In conclusion, the ISW report confirms the conclusions of the Ukrainian expert. Current Russian military production capabilities can support offensive operations at current levels, but are unlikely to fully meet the weapons needs for large-scale operations in 2024.
Recent reports also suggest that Ukrainian defenders have managed to repel an attempted Russian offensive near Bakhmut, resulting in the destruction of a significant amount of Russian equipment. In addition, fighting continues in the Donetsk region, particularly for control of the town of Chasiv Yar, as well as battles in Ivanivske and Bohdanivka.
